Almost exactly a year ago I predicted the end of writing in 50 years. Today, I’m going further and predicting the death of the keyboard and mouse before in 40.
This is why…
1. Touch screens. How many new phones have a keypad now? Not many and none have a mouse/pointing device. Add to this, the rise of tablet PCs and the old keyboard-mouse combo is on shaky ground.
2. Text to speech. It’s been around for a while gut hasn’t really taken off. However, as the technology improves I expect that will change. Especially in combination with my next point, the deal breaker…
3. (e?) Motion. Yes, movement is gonna be the real killer. Check Gmail Motion to see why.
As it says, “Gmail Motion uses your computer’s built-in webcam and Google’s patented spatial tracking technology to detect your movements and translate them into meaningful characters and commands. Movements are designed to be simple and intuitive for people of all skill levels”
So, I can control my PC and read & write without touching a thing. I’m sold.
PS, for the sentimental reader, here’s a recap of last years ‘debate’. Next year, I’m gonna see if I can predict the birth of something. For balance.
predicts the end of writing (in the classical ‘with a pen’ sense) within 50 years. Mark my words – it’s finished.
07 March 2010 at 19:13 · · ·
Ash Thomas Just like they predicted the paperless office when computers first came in. Never happen mate, they don’t need batteries :o)07 March 2010 at 19:19 ·
Nigel Redford It will never happen!07 March 2010 at 19:23 ·
Zoltán Pogátsa Oh, in essence it has already happened.07 March 2010 at 20:27 ·
Jens Krag I finished writing with a pen 10 yrs ago. Therefore, the only thing Im able to write with a pen is my signature…08 March 2010 at 07:12 ·
Ben Whitaker Crayons all the way mate08 March 2010 at 09:19 ·
Silvia Zampese noooooo way! 🙁08 March 2010 at 11:18 ·
Ian BearderExactly Jens! …and I can’t even write my signature properly, it just looks like a scribble. Luckily, signatures are on their way out as well. Also, I take comfort from the fact that you’re Danish and Denmark is 10 years ahead of the res…See more08 March 2010 at 11:43 ·
Silvia Zampese it will be very sad..and very impersonal.08 March 2010 at 15:50 ·
Jens Krag The pen hasnt even hit Laos yet… I didnt see a single newspaper i Laos and after a little research I found out that there are a weekly paper published in English. However, almost noone i Laos speeks English.08 March 2010 at 16:16 ·
Ian BearderSilvia! When was the last time you wrote me a letter??!!??
It’s already impersonal now.
…but don’t worry, I’m not sad 🙂
In 50 years Billy László Bíró will be sitting in inventors heaven, stroking a Dodo and reminiscing about ‘the good old days’ with his buddy Samuel F. B. Morse.
Jens, only the English will publish newspapers even if nobody is there to read them. The other option (learning the local language) is, of course, out of the question.
Oh, and I almost forgot to mention the best app I’ve ever seen, Google Goggles. Take a picture of foreign text (a statement written by a fat, corrupt Russian Police’man’ for example) and watch in amazement as it converts the picture to text and then translates it for you. Maybe I should predict the end of French lessons as well? 😉
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